OOF-AII-423123
Predictive Policing Biases of PredPol
Predictive policing algorithms meant to aid law enforcement by predicting future crime show signs of biased output.
- Event date
- 2015-11-18
- Country
- United States of America
- Severity
- Moderate
- Evidence state
- Single-source
Assessment status
Generated from available public incident evidence using OOF® governance methodology. It is not an official investigation, legal determination, regulatory finding, certification, or OOF® Approved Assessment.
View source record from AI Incident Database (Responsible AI Collaborative)
Assessment confidence dimensions
- Source corroboration
- Single-source
- Extraction completeness
- High
- Methodological assignment confidence
- High
Measures source-group corroboration only; it does not establish factual truth.
Measures populated source fields after deterministic normalization; it does not measure correctness.
Measures automated assignment support; substantive correctness requires authorized human review.
Known facts from the incident record
- The incident record identifies the event date as 2015-11-18.
- The incident record identifies the location as United States of America.
Reported claims
- Predictive policing algorithms meant to aid law enforcement by predicting future crime show signs of biased output.
Material unknowns
- Independent corroboration is not established in the available incident record.
Primary governance problem
The incident appears to expose a governance problem involving predictive, prediction, probability, support, uncertainty. Available reporting supports preliminary methodological interpretation, not a finding of fault or non-compliance.
Architecture intelligence
PGA™ — Prediction Governance Architecture
Primary architecture
The reported predictive, prediction, probability concern falls within the governed questions represented by PGA™ — Prediction Governance Architecture.
Governance focus: Once a sufficiently governed outcome becomes available, how should the prediction be associated with that outcome and its predictive performance legitimately determined over time?
Canonical methodology (ParentStandard):
Preliminary governance questions
- Once a sufficiently governed outcome becomes available, how should the prediction be associated with that outcome and its predictive performance legitimately determined over time?
- What operational authority and controls applied to Predpol, Oakland Police Department at the relevant time?
- What evidence would establish how Ai Enabled Decision Support Systems produced or enabled the reported outcome?
- What additional independent evidence is required to resolve the material evidence gaps?
Evidence gaps and limitations
- Only one independent source group is represented; corroboration is not established.
- AI technology is not specified in the source record.